UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
Vancouver, Canada
12 Jun 2010
Welterweight
VS
58%
Wilks
42%
Sobotta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JW
James Wilks
"Lightning"
7 – 4
6'1"75" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
PS
Peter Sobotta
17 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wilks

This is a genuine toss-up — Wilks at 58% vs Sobotta at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Wilks has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.

Wilks has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sobotta has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Wilks
Sobotta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
48
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Wilks
Sobotta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
15.1
57.5
Performance Avg
39.8
63
Quality of Victory
40
55
Momentum Score
50
Wilks
Sobotta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
1
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance0
2Clinch0
7Ground1
Wilks
Sobotta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wilks
Sobotta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
48
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Wilks
Sobotta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Wilks
Sobotta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wilks
Sobotta
Striking1.0 / 3.3Volume5.0 / 4.8Grappling5.2 / 3.2Wrestling3.6 / 2.2Submission5.0 / 2.5Pressure5.0 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Wilks
Strike Zones
Sobotta
Wilks
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Sobotta
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wilks targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sobotta absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Sobotta targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wilks absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wilks
RND
Sobotta
0/0R00/0

Wilks · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.4L4.5W5.5L2009-062009-112010-062010-10
WinLossTrend

Sobotta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.8W5.2W5.1L5.5L2009-062014-052016-092020-07
WinLossTrend

Wilks · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06

Sobotta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R3
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11

News & Media

James Wilks · Peter Sobotta
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