UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
26 Sept 2015
Bantamweight
VS
64%
Mizugaki
36%
Roop
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TM
Takeya Mizugaki
21 – 11
5'7"69" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
GR
George Roop
15 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'1"
CFR 9

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mizugaki

Mizugaki holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Roop has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Striking split: Mizugaki throws more volume but Roop connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Mizugaki's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roop has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Mizugaki
Roop
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'1"
69"
Reach
+72"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mizugaki
Roop
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
9.4
40.1
Performance Avg
37.0
29
Quality of Victory
36
98
Momentum Score
0
Mizugaki
Roop
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
38%
Strike Accuracy
40%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
9
Body
5
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance4
10Clinch7
0Ground0
Mizugaki
Roop
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mizugaki
Roop
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Mizugaki
Roop
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Mizugaki
Roop
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mizugaki
Roop
Striking2.4 / 4.8Volume8.1 / 5.6Grappling2.1 / 1.4Wrestling1.5 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.6 / 4.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Mizugaki
Strike Zones
Roop
Mizugaki
Attacking
9HEAD9BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD5BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Roop
Attacking
4HEAD5BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD9BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mizugaki targets the head (50% of attacks) — Roop absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Roop targets the body (45% of attacks) — Mizugaki absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mizugaki
RND
Roop
0/0R00/0

Mizugaki · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.0L4.5W2.6L1.5L2011-032012-112014-052016-082016-12
WinLossTrend

Roop · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.5L4.5W2.8L1.5L5.5W5.5L3.3L4.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W2.7L5.5L2008-122011-062013-052015-09
WinLossTrend

Mizugaki · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Eddie WinelandRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Dominick CruzRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09

Roop · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Rob FontRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Dustin KimuraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · KO · R2
Francisco RiveraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · KO · R2
Brian BowlesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05

News & Media

Takeya Mizugaki · George Roop
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