UFC 69: Shootout
Houston, USA
7 Apr 2007
Lightweight
VS
61%
Huerta
39%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Huerta
Huerta holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Garcia has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Huerta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Huerta
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"+
Reach
68"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Huerta
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
13.7
56.0
Performance Avg
32.6
43
Quality of Victory
40
63
Momentum Score
39
Huerta
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
21%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
3
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
1Clinch2
17Ground1
Huerta
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Huerta
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
9/31 fights
Huerta
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Huerta
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Huerta
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
HuertaGarcia
Strike Zones
Huerta
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Huerta targets the head (90% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Huerta absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Huerta
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Huerta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Huerta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Dec · R3
Kenny FlorianRating 5.5Decision
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08
W · Sub · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12
W · KO · R3
Alberto CraneRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
W · KO · R2
Doug EvansRating 5.2KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale · 2007-06
Garcia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 5.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Matt GriceRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Chan Sung JungRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03