UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Hamburg, Germany
22 Jul 2018
Welterweight
VS
44%
Meek
56%
Fabinski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EM
Emil Meek
"Valhalla"
9 – 5
5'11"74" reachSwitch37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 10
BF
Bartosz Fabinski
"The Butcher"
15 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fabinski

This is a genuine toss-up — Meek at 44% vs Fabinski at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Meek throws more volume but Fabinski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Fabinski has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Meek
Fabinski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
37+
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Meek
Fabinski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.9
12.6
25.0
Performance Avg
35.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
22
Momentum Score
45
Meek
Fabinski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
70%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
16
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance11
0Clinch2
0Ground5
Meek
Fabinski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Meek
Fabinski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Meek
Fabinski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Meek
Fabinski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Meek
Fabinski
Striking0.5 / 1.0Volume8.5 / 9.0Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Meek
Strike Zones
Fabinski
Meek
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Fabinski
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Meek targets the head (90% of attacks) — Fabinski absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Fabinski targets the head (89% of attacks) — Meek absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Meek
RND
Fabinski
0/0R00/0

Meek · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.5W6.6L5.5L6.5L2016-122018-012018-072020-02
WinLossTrend

Fabinski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0104.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L2.4L2.6L2015-042015-112018-072018-112020-092021-04
WinLossTrend

Meek · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12

Fabinski · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Emil MeekRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Hector UrbinaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11

News & Media

Emil Meek · Bartosz Fabinski
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