UFC 51: Super Saturday
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2005
Welterweight
VS
62%
Diaz
38%
Fickett
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Diaz
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Fickett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fickett has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Diaz
Fickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Fickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
18.0
49.6
Performance Avg
48.2
49
Quality of Victory
42
46
Momentum Score
52
Diaz
Fickett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
33%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
3Clinch0
8Ground2
Diaz
Fickett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diaz
Fickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/63 fights
Diaz
Fickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Diaz
Fickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Fickett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
DiazFickett
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedFickett
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (77% of attacks) — Fickett absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Fickett targets the head (67% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Fickett
0/0R00/0
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Fickett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Diaz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson SilvaUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreRating 5.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Fickett · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Keita NakamuraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Karo ParisyanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
W · Sub · R3
Kurt PellegrinoRating 5.5Submission
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07
L · Sub · R1
Joshua BurkmanRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 3 · 2006-01
W · Sub · R3
Josh KoscheckRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10