METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 51: Super Saturday
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2005
Welterweight
VS
62%
Diaz
38%
Fickett
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:40
★ Official Result
Nick DiazwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:40
def. Drew Fickett · UFC 51: Super Saturday
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Fickett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fickett has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazFickett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Fickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Fickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
18.0
49.6
Performance Avg
48.2
49
Quality of Victory
42
46
Momentum Score
52
Diaz
Fickett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
7.0
2.1
Style: Volume
3.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
3Clinch0
8Ground2
Diaz
Fickett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
6.6
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.6
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
7.5
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diaz
Fickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/63 fights
Diaz
Fickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Diaz
Fickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Fickett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
DiazFickett
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedFickett
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (77% of attacks) — Fickett absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Fickett targets the head (67% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Fickett
0/0R00/0
Diaz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson SilvaUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreDecision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditDecision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennDecision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Fickett · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Keita NakamuraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Karo ParisyanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
W · Sub · R3
Kurt PellegrinoSubmission
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07
L · Sub · R1
Joshua BurkmanSubmission
UFC Fight Night 3 · 2006-01
W · Sub · R3
Josh KoscheckSubmission
UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10