METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2020
Middleweight
VS
81%
Muniz
19%
Fabinski
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:42
★ Official Result
Andre MunizwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:42
def. Bartosz Fabinski · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Muniz
→
Actual result
Muniz wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Muniz is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Muniz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Muniz's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fabinski has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MunizFabinski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Muniz
Fabinski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
75"
36+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Muniz
Fabinski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.7
12.6
47.7
Performance Avg
35.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
92
Momentum Score
45
Muniz
Fabinski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
1.5
5.2
Style: Volume
9.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Muniz
Fabinski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Muniz
Fabinski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/32 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Muniz
Fabinski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Muniz
Fabinski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Muniz
Fabinski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
MunizFabinski
Strike Zones
Muniz
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedFabinski
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Muniz targets the head (50% of attacks) — Fabinski absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Fabinski targets the head (60% of attacks) — Muniz absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Muniz
RND
Fabinski
0/0R00/0
Muniz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R3
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
Fabinski · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Emil MeekDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Hector UrbinaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11