Jailton Almeida vs Danilo Marques — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland

Las Vegas, USA

5 Feb 2022

Light Heavyweight

74%

Almeida

26%

Marques

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 2:57

Jailton Almeida

"Malhadinho"

22 – 5

6'3"79" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter

CFR 71

Danilo Marques

11 – 4

Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'6"

CFR 26

★ Official Result

Jailton AlmeidawinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:57

def. Danilo Marques · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Almeida

→

Actual result

Almeida wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Almeida is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Risk flags

Marques has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AlmeidaMarques

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Almeida

Marques

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"

Height

+6'6"

79"+

Reach

77"

35+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Almeida

Marques

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

70.9

25.5

61.0

Performance Avg

42.3

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Almeida

Marques

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.2

/ 10

1.0

/ 10

8.3

Style: Pressure

5.0

2.5

Style: Volume

5.0

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

0Distance0

0Clinch0

30Ground0

Almeida

Marques

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.3

/ 10

5.2

/ 10

3.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.6

5.0

Submission Style (/10)

5.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Almeida

Marques

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/27 fights

Chin rating based on

4/15 fights

Almeida

Marques

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

L · KO · R2

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R3

W · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

Almeida

Marques

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

88%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Almeida

Marques

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.0

4.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

5.2

3.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.6

5.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

5.0

8.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.0

2.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.0

Almeida

Strike Zones

Marques

Almeida

Attacking

30 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Marques

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

30 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Almeida targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marques absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Almeida

RND

Marques

0/0R00/0

Almeida · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Rizvan Kuniev

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

L · Dec · R3

Alexander Volkov

Decision

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

W · KO · R1

Serghei Spivac

KO/TKO

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · Sub · R1

Alexandr Romanov

Submission

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

L · KO · R2

Curtis Blaydes

KO/TKO

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

Marques · Last 4

L · KO · R1

Jailton Almeida

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02

L · KO · R3

Kennedy Nzechukwu

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06

W · Sub · R2

Mike Rodriguez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02

W · Dec · R3

Khadis Ibragimov

Decision

UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09

News & Media

Jailton Almeida · Danilo Marques

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