UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
60%
Teixeira
40%
Cirkunov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Teixeira
Teixeira holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Cirkunov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cirkunov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cirkunov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Teixeira
Cirkunov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+77"
46
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Teixeira
Cirkunov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
28.3
58.4
Performance Avg
50.1
51
Quality of Victory
53
59
Momentum Score
59
Teixeira
Cirkunov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
15
1
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance14
0Clinch7
11Ground0
Teixeira
Cirkunov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.7
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Cirkunov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Teixeira
Cirkunov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Teixeira
Cirkunov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Teixeira
Cirkunov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.7
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.7
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.3
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
TeixeiraCirkunov
Strike Zones
Teixeira
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedCirkunov
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (92% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Cirkunov targets the head (71% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Teixeira
RND
Cirkunov
0/0R00/0
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Cirkunov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
Cirkunov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09