UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Heavyweight
VS
58%
Acosta
42%
Gaziev
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:22
Waldo
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
17 – 3
6'4"78" reachOrthodox34 yrsStriker
CFR 66
Shamil
Shamil Gaziev
14 – 3
Striker2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Acosta

This is a genuine toss-up — Acosta at 58% vs Gaziev at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Acosta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gaziev has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Acosta
Gaziev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
78"
Reach
78"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Acosta
Gaziev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.8
48.3
55.7
Performance Avg
48.0
42
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
49
Acosta
Gaziev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
37%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance6
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Acosta
Gaziev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Acosta
Gaziev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
34
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Acosta
Gaziev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
49
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
Acosta
Gaziev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Acosta
Gaziev
Striking6.5 / 7.7Volume5.5 / 3.7Grappling1.2 / 0.8Wrestling0.8 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Acosta
Strike Zones
Gaziev
Acosta
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Gaziev
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Acosta targets the head (80% of attacks) — Gaziev absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Gaziev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Acosta
RND
Gaziev
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Acosta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W4.5W6.1L5.0W5.2W5.3W5.7W5.0W6.7L6.0W5.7W6.5W6.8L2022-102024-012025-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Gaziev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.2W4.5L4.8W5.0W3.0L5.1L2023-122024-032024-082025-022025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Acosta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Shamil GazievRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

Gaziev · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Brando PericicRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Thomas PetersenRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Waldo Cortes Acosta · Shamil Gaziev
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