UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
Saitama, Japan
2 Mar 2013
Middleweight
VS
59%
Okami
41%
Lombard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Okami
This is a genuine toss-up — Okami at 59% vs Lombard at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lombard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Lombard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Okami's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lombard has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Okami
Lombard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
71"
44+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Okami
Lombard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
11.7
46.5
Performance Avg
39.9
33
Quality of Victory
48
78
Momentum Score
0
Okami
Lombard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.2
40%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
18
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance19
1Clinch2
0Ground1
Okami
Lombard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Okami
Lombard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
24
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
12/44 fights
Okami
Lombard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Okami
Lombard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Okami
Lombard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
OkamiLombard
Strike Zones
Okami
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedLombard
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Okami targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lombard targets the head (82% of attacks) — Okami absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Okami
RND
Lombard
0/0R00/0
Okami · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Lombard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Okami · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Dhiego LimaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
Lombard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · R1
CB DollawayRating 4UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HendersonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06