METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
London, United Kingdom
17 Mar 2018
Heavyweight
VS
25%
Werdum
75%
Volkov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 1:38
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkovwinsKO/TKOR4 · 1:38
def. Fabricio Werdum · UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkov
→
Actual result
Volkov wins
KO/TKO · R4
Pre-fight analysis
Volkov is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Volkov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Werdum's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkov has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WerdumVolkov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Werdum
Volkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'7"
77"
Reach
+80"
48
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Werdum
Volkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
60.2
57.8
Performance Avg
54.7
52
Quality of Victory
42
72
Momentum Score
88
Werdum
Volkov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.8
53%
Strike Accuracy
58%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
15
1
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Werdum
Volkov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Werdum
Volkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/33 fights
Chin rating based on
19/51 fights
Werdum
Volkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
88
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Werdum
Volkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Werdum
Volkov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
WerdumVolkov
Strike Zones
Werdum
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedVolkov
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Werdum targets the head (50% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Volkov targets the head (88% of attacks) — Werdum absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Werdum
RND
Volkov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Werdum · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Volkov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Werdum · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 5.5Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkovRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisRating 5Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
Volkov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ciryl GaneRating 7.2Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09