UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
London, United Kingdom
17 Mar 2018
Heavyweight
VS
25%
Werdum
75%
Volkov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 1:38
FW
Fabricio Werdum
"Vai Cavalo"
24 – 9
6'4"77" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Alexander
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
40 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak37 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'7"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Volkov

Volkov is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Volkov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Werdum's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Volkov has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Werdum
Volkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'7"
77"
Reach
+80"
48
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Werdum
Volkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
60.2
57.8
Performance Avg
54.7
52
Quality of Victory
42
72
Momentum Score
88
Werdum
Volkov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.8
53%
Strike Accuracy
58%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
15
1
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Werdum
Volkov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Werdum
Volkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/33 fights
Chin rating based on
19/51 fights
Werdum
Volkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
88
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Werdum
Volkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Werdum
Volkov
Striking4.7 / 5.8Volume4.0 / 5.5Grappling3.5 / 1.8Wrestling2.4 / 1.2Submission3.3 / 0.7Pressure6.7 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Werdum
Strike Zones
Volkov
Werdum
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Volkov
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Werdum targets the head (50% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Volkov targets the head (88% of attacks) — Werdum absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Werdum
RND
Volkov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Werdum · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.2L5.2W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.1W4.5W5.1W5.2W2.6L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.9W4.6L5.5L5.0W2007-042012-062016-052018-032020-07
WinLossTrend

Volkov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W5.4W5.2L4.5W6.4L5.2W5.1W7.2L4.9W3.9L6.1W5.8W5.7W5.7W7.2L6.3W6.0W2016-112019-112021-102024-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Werdum · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkovRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisRating 5
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10

Volkov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ciryl GaneRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Fabricio Werdum · Alexander Volkov
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