METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
London, United Kingdom
17 Mar 2018
Heavyweight
VS
25%
Werdum
75%
Volkov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 1:38
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkovwinsKO/TKOR4 · 1:38
def. Fabricio Werdum · UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkov
→
Actual result
Volkov wins
KO/TKO · R4
Pre-fight analysis
Volkov is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Werdum's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkov has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WerdumVolkov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Werdum
Volkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'7"
77"
Reach
+80"
49
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Werdum
Volkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
60.2
57.8
Performance Avg
54.7
52
Quality of Victory
42
72
Momentum Score
88
Werdum
Volkov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
5.7
4.0
Style: Volume
5.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
15
1
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Werdum
Volkov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Werdum
Volkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/33 fights
Chin rating based on
20/51 fights
Werdum
Volkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
88
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Werdum
Volkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Werdum
Volkov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
WerdumVolkov
Strike Zones
Werdum
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedVolkov
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Werdum targets the head (50% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Volkov targets the head (88% of attacks) — Werdum absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Werdum
RND
Volkov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Werdum · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonSubmission
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Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisSubmission
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Volkov · Last 5
Upcoming
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