UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard
Oklahoma City, USA
16 Sept 2009
Middleweight
VS
84%
Dollaway
16%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dollaway
Dollaway is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dollaway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Dollaway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dollaway's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dollaway
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Dollaway
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
2.7
44.3
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Dollaway
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
38%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch1
7Ground3
Dollaway
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dollaway
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Dollaway
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dollaway
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dollaway
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DollawaySilva
Strike Zones
Dollaway
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedSilva
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dollaway targets the head (75% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dollaway absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dollaway
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Dollaway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Dollaway · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Khalid MurtazalievRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · R1
Hector LombardRating 4UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
Silva · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Chris LebenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
L · Dec · R3
CB DollawayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09