Steven Siler vs Darren Elkins — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit

Montreal, Canada

17 Nov 2012

Featherweight

26%

Siler

74%

Elkins

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Steven Siler

"Super"

29 – 16

5'11"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 16

Darren Elkins

"The Damage"

29 – 12

Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"

CFR 44

★ Official Result

Darren ElkinswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Steven Siler · UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Elkins

→

Actual result

Elkins wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Elkins is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

SilerElkins

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Siler

Elkins

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"+

Height

5'10"

70"

Reach

+71"

39+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Siler

Elkins

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

15.5

44.3

44.9

Performance Avg

45.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Siler

Elkins

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.1

/ 10

3.3

/ 10

4.5

Style: Pressure

4.4

5.9

Style: Volume

6.3

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance6

3Clinch4

1Ground7

Siler

Elkins

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.0

/ 10

2.8

/ 10

2.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.9

2.0

Submission Style (/10)

1.6

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Siler

Elkins

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.4 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

9/45 fights

Chin rating based on

31/41 fights

Siler

Elkins

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

L · Dec · R3

Siler

Elkins

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

37%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Siler

Elkins

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.3

3.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.8

2.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.9

2.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.6

4.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.4

5.9

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.3

Siler

Strike Zones

Elkins

Siler

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

17 absorbed

Elkins

Attacking

17 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Siler targets the head (63% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 63% of strikes there

🎯Elkins targets the head (82% of attacks) — Siler absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Siler

RND

Elkins

0/0R00/0

Siler · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Noad Lahat

Decision

UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07

L · KO · R1

Rony Jason

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

L · Dec · R3

Dennis Bermudez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11

W · KO · R1

Mike Brown

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08

W · Dec · R3

Kurt Holobaugh

Decision

UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04

Elkins · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Yadier del Valle

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08

L · KO · R1

Julian Erosa

KO/TKO

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04

W · Dec · R3

Daniel Pineda

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

W · Sub · R3

TJ Brown

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

L · Dec · R3

Jonathan Pearce

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12

News & Media

Steven Siler · Darren Elkins

← Back to fights