Leon Edwards vs Peter Sobotta — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov

London, United Kingdom

17 Mar 2018

Welterweight

79%

Edwards

21%

Sobotta

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 4:59

Leon Edwards

"Rocky"

22 – 6

6'2"74" reachSouthpaw35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 57

Peter Sobotta

17 – 7

Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"

CFR 15

★ Official Result

Leon EdwardswinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:59

def. Peter Sobotta · UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Edwards

→

Actual result

Edwards wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Edwards is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sobotta has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

EdwardsSobotta

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Edwards

Sobotta

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"+

Height

6'0"

74"

Reach

+75"

35+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

Edwards

Sobotta

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

57.4

15.1

51.1

Performance Avg

39.8

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Edwards

Sobotta

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.6

/ 10

3.3

/ 10

4.2

Style: Pressure

4.7

7.2

Style: Volume

4.8

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance5

1Clinch1

25Ground0

Edwards

Sobotta

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.3

/ 10

3.2

/ 10

1.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.2

0.7

Submission Style (/10)

2.5

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Edwards

Sobotta

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

20/28 fights

Chin rating based on

10/24 fights

Edwards

Sobotta

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R2

L · Sub · R4

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R3

W · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Edwards

Sobotta

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

29%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edwards

Sobotta

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.3

2.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.2

1.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.2

0.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

4.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.7

7.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.8

Edwards

Strike Zones

Sobotta

Edwards

Attacking

30 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Sobotta

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

30 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Edwards targets the head (97% of attacks) — Sobotta absorbs 97% of strikes there

🎯Sobotta targets the head (33% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edwards

RND

Sobotta

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Edwards · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Carlos Prates

KO/TKO

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

L · Sub · R4

Sean Brady

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

L · Dec · R5

Belal Muhammad

Decision

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

W · Dec · R5

Colby Covington

Decision

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

W · Dec · R5

Kamaru Usman

Decision

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Sobotta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Alex Oliveira

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

L · KO · R3

Leon Edwards

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03

W · KO · R2

Ben Saunders

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05

W · Dec · R3

Nicolas Dalby

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09

L · KO · R1

Kyle Noke

KO/TKO

UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11

News & Media

Leon Edwards · Peter Sobotta

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