METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jan 2022
Middleweight
VS
36%
Pickett
64%
Holmes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jamie PickettwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joseph Holmes · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holmes
→
Actual result
Pickett wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holmes holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Pickett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holmes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Pickett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holmes has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PickettHolmes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pickett
Holmes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
80"
Reach
80"
38
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pickett
Holmes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.0
35.0
23.9
Performance Avg
42.4
25
Quality of Victory
54
45
Momentum Score
29
Pickett
Holmes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
0.7
Style: Pressure
7.8
8.4
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
8
7
Body
5
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance11
4Clinch3
0Ground0
Pickett
Holmes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pickett
Holmes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Pickett
Holmes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
29
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Pickett
Holmes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pickett
Holmes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
PickettHolmes
Strike Zones
Pickett
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedHolmes
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the body (41% of attacks) — Holmes absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Holmes targets the head (57% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pickett
RND
Holmes
0/0R00/0
Pickett · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Josh FremdDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Sub · R1
Bo NickalSubmission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Denis TiuliulinKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
Holmes · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Claudio RibeiroKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · Sub · R2
JunYong ParkSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Alen AmedovskiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01