METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jun 2020
Middleweight
VS
27%
Roberson
73%
Vettori
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:17
KR
Karl Roberson
"Baby K"
9 – 6
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw35 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
Marvin
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
19 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 50
★ Official Result
Marvin VettoriwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:17
def. Karl Roberson · UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vettori
→
Actual result
Vettori wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Vettori is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Roberson's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RobersonVettori
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Roberson
Vettori
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
35
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Roberson
Vettori
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
50.2
38.3
Performance Avg
40.0
37
Quality of Victory
31
25
Momentum Score
84
Roberson
Vettori
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
3.1
4.8
Style: Volume
7.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
45
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground43
Roberson
Vettori
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roberson
Vettori
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
84
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
19/29 fights
Roberson
Vettori
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
84
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Roberson
Vettori
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
22%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Roberson
Vettori
Striking0.8 / 1.1Volume4.8 / 7.3Grappling5.2 / 3.6Wrestling3.6 / 2.5Submission5.0 / 2.2Pressure4.7 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Roberson
Strike Zones
Vettori
Roberson
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
45HEAD0BODY0LEGS45 absorbed
Vettori
Attacking
45HEAD0BODY0LEGS45 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Roberson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Vettori targets the head (100% of attacks) — Roberson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Roberson
RND
Vettori
0/0R00/0

Roberson · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Kennedy Nzechukwu
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Khalil Rountree Jr.
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Brendan Allen
Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Marvin Vettori
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Sub · R3
Roman Kopylov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

Vettori · Last 5

Upcoming
Ismail Naurdiev
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Brunno Ferreira
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan Allen
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman Dolidze
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared Cannonier
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Karl Roberson · Marvin Vettori
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