UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jun 2020
Middleweight
VS
27%
Roberson
73%
Vettori
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:17
KR
Karl Roberson
"Baby K"
9 – 6
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw35 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
Marvin
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
19 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vettori

Vettori is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Vettori throws more volume but Roberson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Roberson's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roberson
Vettori
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
35
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Roberson
Vettori
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
50.2
38.3
Performance Avg
40.0
37
Quality of Victory
31
25
Momentum Score
84
Roberson
Vettori
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
45
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground43
Roberson
Vettori
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Roberson
Vettori
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
84
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
19/29 fights
Roberson
Vettori
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
84
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Roberson
Vettori
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
22%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Roberson
Vettori
Striking0.8 / 1.1Volume4.8 / 7.3Grappling5.2 / 3.6Wrestling3.6 / 2.5Submission5.0 / 2.2Pressure4.7 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Roberson
Strike Zones
Vettori
Roberson
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
45HEAD0BODY0LEGS45 absorbed
Vettori
Attacking
45HEAD0BODY0LEGS45 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Roberson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Vettori targets the head (100% of attacks) — Roberson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Roberson
RND
Vettori
0/0R00/0

Roberson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W1.5L4.5W1.9L4.5W6.5W2.3L2.8L3.7L5.3L2017-112019-012020-062022-07
WinLossTrend

Vettori · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W5.5L4.5W6.9L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.4W5.1W6.9L5.5W6.4L5.9W6.5L6.9L6.8L7.1L2016-082019-102021-102025-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Roberson · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Marvin VettoriRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Sub · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

Vettori · Last 5

Upcoming
Ismail Naurdiev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Karl Roberson · Marvin Vettori
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