METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Jun 2016
Lightweight
VS
55%
Poirier
45%
Green
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:53
★ Official Result
Dustin PoirierwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:53
def. King Green · UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Poirier
→
Actual result
Poirier wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Poirier at 55% vs Green at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Poirier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PoirierGreen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Poirier
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Poirier
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
50.1
58.2
Performance Avg
47.2
50
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
85
Poirier
Green
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
5.0
4.0
Style: Volume
5.4
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
13
1
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance15
6Clinch1
5Ground0
Poirier
Green
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Poirier
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
32/52 fights
Poirier
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Poirier
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
47%
10
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Poirier
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
PoirierGreen
Strike Zones
Poirier
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedGreen
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (86% of attacks) — Green absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (81% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Poirier
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Poirier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevSubmission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Green · Last 5
Upcoming
Esteban RibovicsUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12