METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
Macau, China
10 Nov 2012
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Mizugaki
40%
Hougland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Takeya MizugakiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jeff Hougland · UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mizugaki
→
Actual result
Mizugaki wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Mizugaki holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Hougland has real paths to victory.
Risk flags
Mizugaki's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MizugakiHougland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mizugaki
Hougland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
42+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mizugaki
Hougland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
10.9
40.1
Performance Avg
28.3
29
Quality of Victory
25
98
Momentum Score
27
Mizugaki
Hougland
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
1.0
8.1
Style: Volume
8.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
1Clinch0
10Ground0
Mizugaki
Hougland
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mizugaki
Hougland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Mizugaki
Hougland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
27
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Mizugaki
Hougland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mizugaki
Hougland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MizugakiHougland
Strike Zones
Mizugaki
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHougland
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mizugaki targets the head (86% of attacks) — Hougland absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mizugaki
RND
Hougland
0/0R00/0
Mizugaki · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Eddie WinelandKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
George RoopDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Aljamain SterlingSubmission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Dominick CruzKO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
Hougland · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiDecision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Donny WalkerDecision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07