METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
Macau, China
10 Nov 2012
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Mizugaki
40%
Hougland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Takeya MizugakiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jeff Hougland · UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mizugaki
→
Actual result
Mizugaki wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Mizugaki holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Hougland has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Mizugaki has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mizugaki's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MizugakiHougland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mizugaki
Hougland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
42+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mizugaki
Hougland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
10.9
40.1
Performance Avg
28.3
29
Quality of Victory
25
98
Momentum Score
27
Mizugaki
Hougland
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.2
38%
Strike Accuracy
31%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
1Clinch0
10Ground0
Mizugaki
Hougland
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mizugaki
Hougland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Mizugaki
Hougland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
27
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Mizugaki
Hougland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mizugaki
Hougland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MizugakiHougland
Strike Zones
Mizugaki
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHougland
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mizugaki targets the head (86% of attacks) — Hougland absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mizugaki
RND
Hougland
0/0R00/0
Mizugaki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Hougland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Mizugaki · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Eddie WinelandRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Dominick CruzRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
Hougland · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Donny WalkerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07