UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
Macau, China
10 Nov 2012
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Mizugaki
40%
Hougland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TM
Takeya Mizugaki
2111
5'7"69" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
JH
Jeff Hougland
"Hellbound"
106
Well-Rounded2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mizugaki

Mizugaki holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Hougland has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Mizugaki has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Mizugaki's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mizugaki
Hougland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
42+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mizugaki
Hougland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
10.9
40.1
Performance Avg
28.3
29
Quality of Victory
25
98
Momentum Score
27
Mizugaki
Hougland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.2
38%
Strike Accuracy
31%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
1Clinch0
10Ground0
Mizugaki
Hougland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mizugaki
Hougland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Mizugaki
Hougland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
27
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Mizugaki
Hougland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mizugaki
Hougland
Striking2.4 / 0.7Volume8.1 / 8.7Grappling2.1 / 2.4Wrestling1.5 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.6 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Mizugaki
Strike Zones
Hougland
Mizugaki
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Hougland
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mizugaki targets the head (86% of attacks) — Hougland absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mizugaki
RND
Hougland
0/0R00/0

Mizugaki · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.0L4.5W2.6L1.5L2011-032012-112014-052016-082016-12
WinLossTrend

Hougland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5L5.5L2011-072012-052012-11
WinLossTrend

Mizugaki · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Eddie WinelandRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Dominick CruzRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09

Hougland · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Donny WalkerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07

News & Media

Takeya Mizugaki · Jeff Hougland
← Back to fights