UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Berlin, Germany
31 May 2014
Welterweight
VS
58%
Sobotta
42%
Pawlak
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PS
Peter Sobotta
17 – 7
6'0"75" reachSouthpaw39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
PP
Pawel Pawlak
12 – 3
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sobotta

This is a genuine toss-up — Sobotta at 58% vs Pawlak at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sobotta has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Sobotta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sobotta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sobotta
Pawlak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
73"
39
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sobotta
Pawlak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
10.9
39.8
Performance Avg
28.3
40
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
27
Sobotta
Pawlak
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
30%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
3
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Sobotta
Pawlak
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sobotta
Pawlak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Sobotta
Pawlak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
27
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sobotta
Pawlak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sobotta
Pawlak
Striking3.3 / 0.7Volume4.8 / 8.7Grappling3.2 / 2.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Sobotta
Strike Zones
Pawlak
Sobotta
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Pawlak
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sobotta targets the head (38% of attacks) — Pawlak absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Pawlak targets the head (57% of attacks) — Sobotta absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sobotta
RND
Pawlak
0/0R00/0

Sobotta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.8W5.2W5.1L5.5L2009-062014-052016-092020-07
WinLossTrend

Pawlak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L4.5W6.6L2014-052015-042015-07
WinLossTrend

Sobotta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R3
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11

Pawlak · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Sheldon WestcottRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05

News & Media

Peter Sobotta · Pawel Pawlak
← Back to fights