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UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Berlin, Germany
31 May 2014
Welterweight
VS
58%
Sobotta
42%
Pawlak
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PS
Peter Sobotta
177
6'0"75" reachSouthpaw39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
PP
Pawel Pawlak
123
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 11
★ Official Result
Peter SobottawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Pawel Pawlak · UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sobotta
Actual result
Sobotta wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Sobotta at 58% vs Pawlak at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sobotta has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Risk flags

Sobotta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SobottaPawlak
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Sobotta
Pawlak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
73"
39
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sobotta
Pawlak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
10.9
39.8
Performance Avg
28.3
40
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
27
Sobotta
Pawlak
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
1.0
4.8
Style: Volume
8.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
3
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Sobotta
Pawlak
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sobotta
Pawlak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Sobotta
Pawlak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
27
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sobotta
Pawlak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sobotta
Pawlak
Striking3.3 / 0.7Volume4.8 / 8.7Grappling3.2 / 2.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Sobotta
Strike Zones
Pawlak
Sobotta
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Pawlak
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sobotta targets the head (38% of attacks) — Pawlak absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Pawlak targets the head (57% of attacks) — Sobotta absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sobotta
RND
Pawlak
0/0R00/0

Sobotta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex Oliveira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R3
Leon Edwards
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R2
Ben Saunders
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Dec · R3
Nicolas Dalby
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Kyle Noke
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11

Pawlak · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Leon Edwards
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Sheldon Westcott
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Peter Sobotta
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05

News & Media

Peter Sobotta · Pawel Pawlak
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