★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
Sacramento, USA
30 Aug 2014
Bantamweight
VS
74%
Dillashaw
26%
Soto
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 2:20
TD
TJ Dillashaw
18 – 5
5'6"67" reachOrthodox40 yrsStriker
CFR 37
JS
Joe Soto
"One Bad Mofo"
18 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dillashaw

Dillashaw is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dillashaw has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Dillashaw throws more volume but Soto connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Soto has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dillashaw
Soto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"+
Reach
65"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Soto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
12.7
62.3
Performance Avg
39.8
56
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
20
Dillashaw
Soto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
6
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dillashaw
Soto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Soto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
20
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Dillashaw
Soto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Dillashaw
Soto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dillashaw
Soto
Striking6.8 / 0.8Volume4.5 / 3.4Grappling1.5 / 6.1Wrestling1.1 / 4.3Submission0.8 / 6.7Pressure6.5 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Dillashaw
Strike Zones
Soto
Dillashaw
Attacking
7HEAD6BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Soto
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD6BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (50% of attacks) — Soto absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Soto targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dillashaw
RND
Soto
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dillashaw · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.5W5.4W5.5L4.5W4.5W6.2W6.1W3.0L6.0W3.1L2011-122013-102016-012019-012022-10
WinLossTrend

Soto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.1L1.5L5.5L5.5W5.0W4.9W1.5L1.5L2014-082016-012016-112017-122018-02
WinLossTrend

Dillashaw · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11

Soto · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Sub · R1
Brett JohnsRating 1.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Marco BeltranRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R3
Chris BealRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

News & Media

TJ Dillashaw · Joe Soto
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