UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
Chicago, USA
26 Jan 2013
Lightweight
VS
57%
Grant
43%
Wiman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:51
TG
TJ Grant
21 – 5
5'10"72" reachOrthodox42 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 21
MW
Matt Wiman
16 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Grant

This is a genuine toss-up — Grant at 57% vs Wiman at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Grant has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Wiman has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Grant
Wiman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
68"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Wiman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
15.4
53.5
Performance Avg
46.3
41
Quality of Victory
40
75
Momentum Score
54
Grant
Wiman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
9
15
Body
2
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
25Distance16
20Clinch2
9Ground0
Grant
Wiman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grant
Wiman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
4
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Grant
Wiman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
54
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Grant
Wiman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Grant
Wiman
Striking5.2 / 3.1Volume5.5 / 5.1Grappling2.2 / 3.6Wrestling1.5 / 2.5Submission1.3 / 3.0Pressure5.7 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Grant
Strike Zones
Wiman
Grant
Attacking
37HEAD15BODY2LEGS54 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY7LEGS18 absorbed
Wiman
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY7LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
37HEAD15BODY2LEGS54 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (69% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Wiman targets the head (50% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Grant
RND
Wiman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Grant · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2009-042010-052011-102013-012013-05
WinLossTrend

Wiman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.0L6.2L3.0L2006-052008-122011-072019-062020-12
WinLossTrend

Grant · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Gray MaynardRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
W · KO · R1
Matt WimanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Carlo PraterRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
W · Sub · R3
Shane RollerRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Wiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Luis PenaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01

News & Media

TJ Grant · Matt Wiman
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