UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
73%
Pedro
27%
Villanueva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pedro
Pedro is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pedro has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pedro's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Villanueva has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pedro
Villanueva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
73"
34+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pedro
Villanueva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.6
20.7
56.6
Performance Avg
39.7
58
Quality of Victory
55
65
Momentum Score
13
Pedro
Villanueva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.8
60%
Strike Accuracy
36%
7.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
5
Body
1
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance4
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Pedro
Villanueva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pedro
Villanueva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
10
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/32 fights
Pedro
Villanueva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
13
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · R1
Pedro
Villanueva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pedro
Villanueva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
PedroVillanueva
Strike Zones
Pedro
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedVillanueva
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pedro targets the head (45% of attacks) — Villanueva absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Villanueva targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pedro absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pedro
RND
Villanueva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pedro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Villanueva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Pedro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Anton TurkaljRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Harry HunsuckerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · KO · R1
Ike VillanuevaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
Villanueva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tyson PedroRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Nicolae NegumereanuRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Marcin PrachnioRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · KO · R2
Vinicius MoreiraRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · R1
Jordan WrightRating 4UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08