UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Perth, Australia
10 Feb 2018
Lightweight
VS
66%
Pearson
34%
Hirota
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RP
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20 – 16
5'8"69" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
MH
Mizuto Hirota
"Pugnus"
18 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 9

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pearson

Pearson holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Hirota has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pearson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Pearson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pearson
Hirota
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
67"
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pearson
Hirota
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
8.6
44.3
Performance Avg
21.7
42
Quality of Victory
25
89
Momentum Score
15
Pearson
Hirota
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
18
7
Body
1
4
Leg
7
RangeRange
23Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pearson
Hirota
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pearson
Hirota
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Pearson
Hirota
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Pearson
Hirota
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pearson
Hirota
Striking4.3 / 0.3Volume5.6 / 8.3Grappling1.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 0.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.5
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Pearson
Strike Zones
Hirota
Pearson
Attacking
12HEAD7BODY4LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD1BODY7LEGS26 absorbed
Hirota
Attacking
18HEAD1BODY7LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD7BODY4LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the head (52% of attacks) — Hirota absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Hirota targets the head (69% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pearson
RND
Hirota
0/0R00/0

Pearson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W6.0L4.5W3.3L5.2W5.2W5.5L5.2W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5L3.6L4.5W5.5L1.5L2009-062012-062015-072017-062019-03
WinLossTrend

Hirota · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.9L5.5L4.5W7.0L5.5L5.7L2013-032013-062016-122017-062018-022018-12
WinLossTrend

Pearson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

Hirota · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Cole MillerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
Upcoming
Teruto Ishihara
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09

News & Media

Ross Pearson · Mizuto Hirota
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