UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Chicago, USA
25 Jul 2015
Welterweight
VS
55%
Robertson
45%
Saunders
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
This is a genuine toss-up — Robertson at 55% vs Saunders at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Saunders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Saunders has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Robertson
Saunders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+77"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Robertson
Saunders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
15.6
46.7
Performance Avg
46.4
48
Quality of Victory
46
69
Momentum Score
50
Robertson
Saunders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
18
0
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance12
0Clinch1
0Ground9
Robertson
Saunders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Robertson
Saunders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.9 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/20 fights
Chin rating based on
19/35 fights
Robertson
Saunders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Robertson
Saunders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Robertson
Saunders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
RobertsonSaunders
Strike Zones
Robertson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedSaunders
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Robertson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Saunders targets the head (82% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Robertson
RND
Saunders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Saunders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Robertson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Ben SaundersRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Sultan AlievRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Sub · R1
Thiago PerpetuoRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
Saunders · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06