UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Las Vegas, USA
8 Aug 2020
Middleweight
VS
46%
Sanchez
54%
Turman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Turman
This is a genuine toss-up — Sanchez at 46% vs Turman at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sanchez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Sanchez throws more volume but Turman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turman has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sanchez
Turman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
72"
38
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Turman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
27.0
48.2
Performance Avg
33.2
47
Quality of Victory
33
43
Momentum Score
15
Sanchez
Turman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
16
4
Body
1
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
26Distance21
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Sanchez
Turman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sanchez
Turman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Sanchez
Turman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Sanchez
Turman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Turman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
SanchezTurman
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTurman
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (82% of attacks) — Turman absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Turman targets the head (76% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Turman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Turman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Wellington TurmanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Turman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jared GoodenRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08