UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
Toronto, Canada
8 Dec 2018
Welterweight
VS
42%
Laprise
58%
Lima
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lima
This is a genuine toss-up — Laprise at 42% vs Lima at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Laprise has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Laprise has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Laprise's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lima has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Laprise
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+75"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Laprise
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
23.4
56.0
Performance Avg
34.8
53
Quality of Victory
34
30
Momentum Score
91
Laprise
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
1
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Laprise
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Laprise
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Laprise
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Laprise
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Laprise
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
LapriseLima
Strike Zones
Laprise
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedLima
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Laprise targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (80% of attacks) — Laprise absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Laprise
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Laprise · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Laprise · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dhiego LimaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · KO · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · KO · R1
Galore BofandoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
W · KO · R3
Brian CamozziRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Thibault GoutiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
Lima · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Luke JumeauRating 4.5Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R1
Chad LapriseRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12