UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson
Dublin, Ireland
17 Jan 2009
Welterweight
VS
51%
Davis
49%
Lytle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MD
Marcus Davis
"The Irish Hand Grenade"
22 – 11
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw52 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
CL
Chris Lytle
"Lights Out"
31 – 18
Well-Rounded51 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'11"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Davis

This is a genuine toss-up — Davis at 51% vs Lytle at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Davis throws more volume but Lytle connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Davis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Davis
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"+
Reach
68"
52
Age
+51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
18.3
52.8
Performance Avg
46.2
48
Quality of Victory
44
56
Momentum Score
56
Davis
Lytle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
12
11
Body
6
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
22Distance18
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Davis
Lytle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.5
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Davis
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Davis
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
70%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
6
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Davis
Lytle
Striking4.5 / 2.0Volume3.0 / 3.4Grappling4.1 / 5.5Wrestling2.9 / 3.9Submission4.4 / 6.0Pressure7.2 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Davis
Strike Zones
Lytle
Davis
Attacking
10HEAD11BODY3LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD6BODY4LEGS22 absorbed
Lytle
Attacking
12HEAD6BODY4LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD11BODY3LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the body (46% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Lytle targets the head (55% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Davis
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.8L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.2W4.0L4.5L2005-112007-062008-102010-052011-01
WinLossTrend

Lytle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.8L5.8L5.2W5.2W5.5L4.8L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.6W4.5W5.5L5.5W2000-112005-102008-022010-022011-08
WinLossTrend

Davis · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazRating 4
Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06

Lytle · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

News & Media

Marcus Davis · Chris Lytle
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