METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
Washington, USA
7 Dec 2019
Heavyweight
VS
26%
Overeem
74%
Rozenstruik
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 4:56
★ Official Result
Jairzinho RozenstruikwinsKO/TKOR5 · 4:56
def. Alistair Overeem · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rozenstruik
→
Actual result
Rozenstruik wins
KO/TKO · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Rozenstruik is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rozenstruik has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OvereemRozenstruik
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Overeem
Rozenstruik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
80"+
Reach
78"
46
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Rozenstruik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
51.3
55.0
Performance Avg
56.7
52
Quality of Victory
54
56
Momentum Score
56
Overeem
Rozenstruik
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
8.0
3.2
Style: Volume
2.1
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
17
0
Body
1
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance19
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Overeem
Rozenstruik
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Overeem
Rozenstruik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Overeem
Rozenstruik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
56
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Overeem
Rozenstruik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
89%
9
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Overeem
Rozenstruik
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
OvereemRozenstruik
Strike Zones
Overeem
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedRozenstruik
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the head (55% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (81% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Overeem
RND
Rozenstruik
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Overeem · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
Rozenstruik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausKO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12