UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
21 Oct 2023
Flyweight
VS
37%
Elliott
63%
Mokaev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mokaev
Mokaev holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Elliott has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Elliott has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elliott
Mokaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
66"
Reach
+70"
39
Age
+25
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Mokaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
63.2
37.9
Performance Avg
62.6
33
Quality of Victory
38
43
Momentum Score
100
Elliott
Mokaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Elliott
Mokaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.6
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Mokaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Elliott
Mokaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Elliott
Mokaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
57%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
4
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Mokaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
ElliottMokaev
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMokaev
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (75% of attacks) — Mokaev absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Mokaev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Mokaev
0/0R00/0
Elliott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Mokaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Elliott · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.2Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
SumudaerjiRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
Mokaev · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Manel KapeRating 6.2Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · Sub · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 6.6Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Sub · R3
Malcolm GordonRating 5.5Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10