METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
21 Oct 2023
Flyweight
VS
37%
Elliott
63%
Mokaev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:03
★ Official Result
Muhammad MokaevwinsSubmissionR3 · 3:03
def. Tim Elliott · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mokaev
→
Actual result
Mokaev wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Mokaev holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Elliott has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElliottMokaev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elliott
Mokaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
66"
Reach
+70"
39
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Mokaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.9
63.2
38.0
Performance Avg
62.6
33
Quality of Victory
38
43
Momentum Score
100
Elliott
Mokaev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
7.0
6.5
Style: Volume
5.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Elliott
Mokaev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.9
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.7
3
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elliott
Mokaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Elliott
Mokaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Elliott
Mokaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
57%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
4
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Mokaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
ElliottMokaev
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMokaev
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (75% of attacks) — Mokaev absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Mokaev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Mokaev
0/0R00/0
Elliott · Last 5
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