UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Nakamura
47%
Vera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RN
Rinya Nakamura
"Hybred"
10 – 1
5'7"68" reachSouthpaw31 yrsStriker
CFR 70
Carlos
Carlos Vera
"Pequeno"
12 – 4
Submission Hunter38 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nakamura

This is a genuine toss-up — Nakamura at 53% vs Vera at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Nakamura throws more volume but Vera connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Nakamura
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+69"
31+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nakamura
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.9
60.9
63.5
Performance Avg
52.4
53
Quality of Victory
54
92
Momentum Score
59
Nakamura
Vera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
57%
6.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
1Clinch1
7Ground1
Nakamura
Vera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nakamura
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Nakamura
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
59
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Nakamura
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nakamura
Vera
Striking6.6 / 1.0Volume5.6 / 1.0Grappling1.2 / 8.0Wrestling0.8 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure5.9 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Nakamura
Strike Zones
Vera
Nakamura
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Vera
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nakamura targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nakamura
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0

Nakamura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.3W4.5W5.8W5.5L5.7W2023-022023-082024-022025-012025-08
WinLossTrend

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0107.2L5.0W2024-022025-03
WinLossTrend

Nakamura · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nathan FletcherRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Carlos VeraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Toshiomi KazamaRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02

Vera · Last 2

W · Sub · R1
Josias MusasaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Rinya NakamuraRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

News & Media

Rinya Nakamura · Carlos Vera
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