UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Omaha, USA
15 Feb 2012
Heavyweight
VS
59%
Struve
41%
Herman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:52
SS
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
33 – 13
6'11"84" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 21
DH
Dave Herman
22 – 6
Knockout Artist4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Struve

This is a genuine toss-up — Struve at 59% vs Herman at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Herman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herman has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Struve
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'4"
84"+
Reach
77"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Struve
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
14.2
51.7
Performance Avg
41.0
50
Quality of Victory
55
98
Momentum Score
20
Struve
Herman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
61%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
3
2
Body
4
10
Leg
7
RangeRange
23Distance14
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Struve
Herman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Struve
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
22
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
5/28 fights
Struve
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Struve
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Struve
Herman
Striking4.9 / 10.0Volume2.3 / 0.4Grappling4.1 / 0.0Wrestling2.8 / 0.0Submission4.6 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Struve
Strike Zones
Herman
Struve
Attacking
19HEAD2BODY10LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY7LEGS14 absorbed
Herman
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY7LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD2BODY10LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Struve targets the head (61% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Struve
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Struve · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W5.2W5.0W6.2W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.0L6.2L5.9L5.9W2.8L1.9L2009-022010-122013-032017-092020-10
WinLossTrend

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0105.2W2.8L1.5L2.8L1.5L2011-062012-022012-052012-102013-07
WinLossTrend

Struve · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Sub · R2
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · KO · R2
Stefan StruveRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · KO · R2
Jon Olav EinemoRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06

News & Media

Stefan Struve · Dave Herman
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