UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Las Vegas, USA
15 Nov 2008
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Gonzaga
11%
Hendricks
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gonzaga
Gonzaga is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gonzaga has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Gonzaga has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gonzaga's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gonzaga
Hendricks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
47+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Gonzaga
Hendricks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.6
2.2
53.9
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Gonzaga
Hendricks
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
20%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
5
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
7Clinch1
2Ground0
Gonzaga
Hendricks
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gonzaga
Hendricks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
1/30 fights
Gonzaga
Hendricks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Gonzaga
Hendricks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
92%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gonzaga
Hendricks
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GonzagaHendricks
Strike Zones
Gonzaga
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHendricks
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gonzaga targets the head (58% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Hendricks targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gonzaga absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gonzaga
RND
Hendricks
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gonzaga · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Gonzaga · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Konstantin ErokhinRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R3
Mirko FilipovicRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
Hendricks · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11