METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Newark, USA
3 Aug 2019
Lightweight
VS
52%
Miller
48%
Guida
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:58
★ Official Result
Jim MillerwinsSubmissionR1 · 0:58
def. Clay Guida · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Miller wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 52% vs Guida at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guida has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerGuida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Guida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Guida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
39.7
51.5
Performance Avg
40.7
45
Quality of Victory
35
28
Momentum Score
78
Miller
Guida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
4.2
3.5
Style: Volume
5.9
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Miller
Guida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.8
14
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Guida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
8
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
37/60 fights
Miller
Guida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
78
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Miller
Guida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
39%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
14
Submission Wins
5
8
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Guida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.8
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
MillerGuida
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedGuida
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (50% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Guida targets the head (50% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Guida
0/0R00/0
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