★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
New York City, USA
3 Nov 2018
Heavyweight
VS
30%
Cormier
70%
Lewis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:14
DC
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
22 – 3
5'11"72" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
Derrick
Derrick Lewis
"The Black Beast"
29 – 13
Knockout Artist41 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'3"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lewis

Lewis is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lewis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lewis has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cormier
Lewis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+79"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cormier
Lewis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.9
59.2
68.1
Performance Avg
57.5
61
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
84
Cormier
Lewis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
16 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Cormier
Lewis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cormier
Lewis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
32/42 fights
Cormier
Lewis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Cormier
Lewis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
80%
3
KO / TKO Wins
16
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cormier
Lewis
Striking4.3 / 9.3Volume4.5 / 2.9Grappling3.8 / 0.5Wrestling2.6 / 0.3Submission3.6 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Cormier
Strike Zones
Lewis
Cormier
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Lewis
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cormier targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Lewis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cormier
RND
Lewis
0/0R00/0

Cormier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W7.3L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.1W5.9W6.1W6.3W4.4L6.6L2013-042015-012017-042019-082020-08
WinLossTrend

Lewis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.4W5.1W3.4L5.9W4.9W6.8W2.1L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W4.5L5.3W3.2L2.7L2.0L5.6W7.3L5.6W6.2W4.3L2014-042016-072019-032022-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Cormier · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01

Lewis · Last 5

Upcoming
Josh Hokit
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

News & Media

Daniel Cormier · Derrick Lewis
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