UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Louisville, USA
8 Jun 2024
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Castaneda
54%
Marcos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
John
John Castaneda
"Sexi Mexi"
21 – 8
5'6"71" reachSwitch34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Daniel
Daniel Marcos
"Soncora"
18 – 1
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Marcos

This is a genuine toss-up — Castaneda at 46% vs Marcos at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Castaneda throws more volume but Marcos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Castaneda
Marcos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
34
Age
+33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Castaneda
Marcos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
61.0
43.2
Performance Avg
54.9
39
Quality of Victory
36
71
Momentum Score
83
Castaneda
Marcos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
60%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
26
4
Body
16
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
22Distance38
1Clinch6
0Ground0
Castaneda
Marcos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Castaneda
Marcos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Castaneda
Marcos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
83
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Castaneda
Marcos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Castaneda
Marcos
Striking3.5 / 3.7Volume5.0 / 6.5Grappling3.2 / 3.0Wrestling2.2 / 2.1Submission2.5 / 2.0Pressure5.0 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Castaneda
Strike Zones
Marcos
Castaneda
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY6LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD16BODY2LEGS44 absorbed
Marcos
Attacking
26HEAD16BODY2LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY6LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Castaneda targets the head (57% of attacks) — Marcos absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Marcos targets the head (59% of attacks) — Castaneda absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Castaneda
RND
Marcos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Castaneda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.3L5.0W5.5W3.8L4.5W5.4W6.8L6.0L2020-072022-022023-062024-062025-04
WinLossTrend

Marcos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.2W5.3W5.3W5.9W6.4L5.2W2023-012023-072024-062024-122025-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Castaneda · Last 5

Upcoming
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Daniel MarcosRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 4.5
Decision
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Marcos · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Miles JohnsRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Adrian YanezRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Upcoming
Aoriqileng
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News & Media

John Castaneda · Daniel Marcos
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