METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
96%
Cannonier
4%
Roehrick
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:08
★ Official Result
Jared CannonierwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:08
def. Nick Roehrick · The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cannonier
→
Actual result
Cannonier wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cannonier is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cannonier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Risk flags
Cannonier's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CannonierRoehrick
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cannonier
Roehrick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
42
Age
+39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Cannonier
Roehrick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.5
2.2
48.2
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
82
Momentum Score
0
Cannonier
Roehrick
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.0
Style: Volume
0.0
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance4
3Clinch0
4Ground0
Cannonier
Roehrick
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cannonier
Roehrick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Cannonier
Roehrick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Cannonier
Roehrick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cannonier
Roehrick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CannonierRoehrick
Strike Zones
Cannonier
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedRoehrick
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (93% of attacks) — Roehrick absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Roehrick targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cannonier
RND
Roehrick
0/0R00/0
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Roehrick · Last 1
L · KO · R3
Jared CannonierKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07