The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
96%
Cannonier
4%
Roehrick
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:08
Jared
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18 – 9
5'11"77" reachSwitch42 yrsStriker
CFR 54
NR
Nick Roehrick
7 – 1
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cannonier

Cannonier is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cannonier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.

Cannonier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cannonier's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cannonier
Roehrick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
42
Age
+38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Cannonier
Roehrick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
2.2
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
82
Momentum Score
0
Cannonier
Roehrick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
18%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance4
3Clinch0
4Ground0
Cannonier
Roehrick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cannonier
Roehrick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Cannonier
Roehrick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
0
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Cannonier
Roehrick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cannonier
Roehrick
Striking7.5 / 0.0Volume4.0 / 0.0Grappling0.9 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Cannonier
Strike Zones
Roehrick
Cannonier
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Roehrick
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (93% of attacks) — Roehrick absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Roehrick targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cannonier
RND
Roehrick
0/0R00/0

Cannonier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0101.5L5.0W4.8W5.9L5.5W6.1L2.5L5.2W5.0W6.1W6.4L4.8W5.5W6.9L5.6W5.3W4.8L6.9L7.0W6.3L2015-012017-122020-102023-062025-08
WinLossTrend

Cannonier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Roehrick · Last 1

L · KO · R3
Jared CannonierRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07

News & Media

Jared Cannonier · Nick Roehrick
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