UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
1 Feb 2025
Lightweight
VS
65%
McKinney
35%
Hadzovic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:01
Terrance
Terrance McKinney
"T. Wrecks"
18 – 8
5'10"73" reachSwitch31 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 66
Damir
Damir Hadzovic
"The Bosnian Bomber"
14 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McKinney

McKinney holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Hadzovic has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McKinney has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

McKinney has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McKinney's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hadzovic has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

McKinney
Hadzovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
31+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
McKinney
Hadzovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.7
35.9
59.3
Performance Avg
39.2
58
Quality of Victory
39
98
Momentum Score
20
McKinney
Hadzovic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
5.1
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
49%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
53
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch0
46Ground0
McKinney
Hadzovic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McKinney
Hadzovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
McKinney
Hadzovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
McKinney
Hadzovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McKinney
Hadzovic
Striking7.5 / 5.8Volume1.2 / 4.8Grappling3.0 / 1.2Wrestling2.1 / 0.8Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure8.8 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
McKinney
Strike Zones
Hadzovic
McKinney
Attacking
53HEAD1BODY0LEGS54 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Hadzovic
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
53HEAD1BODY0LEGS54 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McKinney targets the head (98% of attacks) — Hadzovic absorbs 98% of strikes there
🎯Hadzovic targets the head (75% of attacks) — McKinney absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McKinney
RND
Hadzovic
0/0R00/0

McKinney · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.2W6.2W2.7L5.0W3.1L4.2L5.0W5.0W2.2L5.0W5.5W2.8L5.1W2021-062023-012024-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Hadzovic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.7L2.3L4.5W5.6L3.0L2016-042018-072020-032025-02
WinLossTrend

McKinney · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Damir HadzovicRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · KO · R1
Esteban RibovicsRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

Hadzovic · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Yancy MedeirosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06

News & Media

Terrance McKinney · Damir Hadzovic
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