UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
St. Louis, USA
11 May 2024
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Acosta
44%
Despaigne
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Waldo
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
17 – 3
6'4"78" reachOrthodox34 yrsStriker
CFR 66
Robelis
Robelis Despaigne
"The Big Boy"
5 – 2
Knockout Artist2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox84" reach6'7"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Acosta

This is a genuine toss-up — Acosta at 56% vs Despaigne at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Despaigne has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Striking split: Acosta throws more volume but Despaigne connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Acosta
Despaigne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'7"
78"
Reach
+84"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Acosta
Despaigne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.8
50.8
55.7
Performance Avg
49.3
42
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
43
Acosta
Despaigne
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
0.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
74%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
2
0
Body
0
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
5Distance11
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Acosta
Despaigne
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Acosta
Despaigne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/7 fights
Acosta
Despaigne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Acosta
Despaigne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Acosta
Despaigne
Striking6.5 / 10.0Volume5.5 / 0.7Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Acosta
Strike Zones
Despaigne
Acosta
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY4LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY9LEGS11 absorbed
Despaigne
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY9LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY4LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Acosta targets the head (81% of attacks) — Despaigne absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Despaigne targets the legs (82% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Acosta
RND
Despaigne
0/0R00/0

Acosta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W4.5W6.1L5.0W5.2W5.3W5.7W5.0W6.7L6.0W5.7W6.5W6.8L2022-102024-012025-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Despaigne · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0105.1W7.0L5.5L2024-032024-052024-10
WinLossTrend

Acosta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Shamil GazievRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

Despaigne · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Austen LaneRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Josh ParisianRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Waldo Cortes Acosta · Robelis Despaigne
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