METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
St. Louis, USA
11 May 2024
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Acosta
46%
Despaigne
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Waldo Cortes AcostawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Robelis Despaigne · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Acosta
→
Actual result
Acosta wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Acosta at 54% vs Despaigne at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Despaigne has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AcostaDespaigne
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Acosta
Despaigne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'7"
78"
Reach
+84"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Acosta
Despaigne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.8
56.5
55.7
Performance Avg
49.3
42
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
43
Acosta
Despaigne
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.5
Style: Volume
0.7
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
2
0
Body
0
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
5Distance11
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Acosta
Despaigne
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Acosta
Despaigne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/7 fights
Acosta
Despaigne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Acosta
Despaigne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Acosta
Despaigne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
AcostaDespaigne
Strike Zones
Acosta
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedDespaigne
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Acosta targets the head (81% of attacks) — Despaigne absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Despaigne targets the legs (82% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Acosta
RND
Despaigne
0/0R00/0
Acosta · Last 5
Upcoming
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Despaigne · Last 4
Upcoming
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W · KO · R1
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