UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Oct 2025
Lightweight
VS
56%
Klein
44%
Rebecki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Klein
This is a genuine toss-up — Klein at 56% vs Rebecki at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Klein has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rebecki has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Klein
Rebecki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
66"
31+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Klein
Rebecki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.8
46.4
49.3
Performance Avg
43.8
34
Quality of Victory
40
99
Momentum Score
50
Klein
Rebecki
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
58%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
28
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance5
0Clinch2
9Ground23
Klein
Rebecki
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Klein
Rebecki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/29 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Klein
Rebecki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
50
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Klein
Rebecki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Klein
Rebecki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
KleinRebecki
Strike Zones
Klein
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedRebecki
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Klein targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rebecki absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rebecki targets the head (93% of attacks) — Klein absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Klein
RND
Rebecki
0/0R00/0
Klein · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Rebecki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Klein · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 5.1Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6Decision
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Rebecki · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Grant DawsonRating 5.5Submission
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