UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
Vancouver, Canada
10 Jun 2023
Welterweight
VS
64%
Malott
36%
Fugitt
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Malott
Malott holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Fugitt has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Fugitt throws more volume but Malott connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fugitt has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Malott
Fugitt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+77"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Malott
Fugitt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.1
39.1
63.2
Performance Avg
38.8
47
Quality of Victory
43
97
Momentum Score
41
Malott
Fugitt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.6
57%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Malott
Fugitt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Malott
Fugitt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
22
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Malott
Fugitt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
41
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Malott
Fugitt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Malott
Fugitt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
MalottFugitt
Strike Zones
Malott
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedFugitt
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Malott targets the body (60% of attacks) — Fugitt absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Fugitt targets the body (100% of attacks) — Malott absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Malott
RND
Fugitt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Malott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Fugitt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Malott · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Charles RadtkeRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Fugitt · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ty MillerRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Islam DulatovRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Josh QuinlanRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Sub · R2
Mike MalottRating 4.5Submission
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Yusaku KinoshitaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02

