★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Women's Bantamweight
VS
69%
Rousey
31%
Carmouche
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:49
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rousey
Rousey holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Carmouche has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rousey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 64 points.
Rousey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rousey's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rousey
Carmouche
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
66"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rousey
Carmouche
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.1
14.0
87.0
Performance Avg
38.6
95
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
40
Rousey
Carmouche
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.9
55%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
4
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
2Clinch1
4Ground0
Rousey
Carmouche
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rousey
Carmouche
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/14 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Rousey
Carmouche
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Rousey
Carmouche
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
20%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rousey
Carmouche
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
RouseyCarmouche
Strike Zones
Rousey
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedCarmouche
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rousey targets the head (86% of attacks) — Carmouche absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Carmouche targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rousey absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rousey
RND
Carmouche
0/0R00/0
Rousey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Carmouche · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Rousey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Holly HolmRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Bethe CorreiaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
W · Sub · R1
Cat ZinganoRating 5Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Alexis DavisRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
Carmouche · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexis DavisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 4.8Decision
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11