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UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Welterweight
VS
33%
Woodley
67%
Burns
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 Β· 5:00
TW
Tyron Woodley
"The Chosen One"
19 – 7
5'9"74" reachOrthodox44 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
Gilbert
Gilbert Burns
"Durinho"
22 – 10
Well-Rounded5-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 40
β˜… Official Result
Gilbert BurnswinsDecisionR5 Β· 5:00
def. Tyron Woodley Β· UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Burns
β†’
Actual result
Burns wins
Decision Β· R5
Pre-fight analysis

Burns holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings β€” but Woodley has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 18 points.

Burns has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Woodley's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burns has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WoodleyBurns
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Woodley
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
74"+
Reach
71"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Woodley
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
39.8
58.9
Performance Avg
48.1
58
Quality of Victory
40
40
Momentum Score
28
Woodley
Burns
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
1
Body
5
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance9
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Woodley
Burns
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Woodley
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
25/32 fights
Woodley
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
40
28
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
5-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R5
L Β· Dec Β· R5
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R5
L Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Woodley
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
53%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Woodley
Burns
Striking6.8 / 3.2Volume3.9 / 4.9Grappling1.7 / 3.8Wrestling1.2 / 2.6Submission1.1 / 3.3Pressure6.5 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Woodley
Strike Zones
Burns
Woodley
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD5BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Burns
Attacking
2HEAD5BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Woodley targets the head (80% of attacks) β€” Burns absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the body (50% of attacks) β€” Woodley absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Woodley
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0

Woodley Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.8W5.3W5.1W4.5W5.1W6.6L5.7L5.3L3.0L2013-022014-062017-032020-052021-03
WinLossTrend

Burns Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.2W5.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W2.4L4.5W6.4W4.5W5.6W5.0W4.5W3.9L5.1W7.4L5.6W4.5W6.6L5.5L6.6L3.6L4.5L2014-072018-042020-052024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Woodley Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3
Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou Β· 2021-03
L Β· KO Β· R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley Β· 2020-09
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns Β· 2020-05
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith Β· 2019-03
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Darren TillRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till Β· 2018-09

Burns Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R3
Mike MalottRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott Β· 2026-04
L Β· KO Β· R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales Β· 2025-05
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Sean BradyRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady Β· 2024-09
L Β· KO Β· R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 Β· 2024-03
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo Β· 2023-05

News & Media

Tyron Woodley Β· Gilbert Burns
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