UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Welterweight
VS
33%
Woodley
67%
Burns
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Burns
Burns holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Woodley has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Burns has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Woodley's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burns has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Woodley
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
74"+
Reach
71"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Woodley
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
39.8
58.9
Performance Avg
48.1
58
Quality of Victory
40
40
Momentum Score
28
Woodley
Burns
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
1
Body
5
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance9
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Woodley
Burns
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Woodley
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
25/32 fights
Woodley
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
28
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Woodley
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
53%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Woodley
Burns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
WoodleyBurns
Strike Zones
Woodley
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedBurns
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Woodley targets the head (80% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the body (50% of attacks) — Woodley absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Woodley
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
Woodley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Burns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Woodley · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren TillRating 5.1Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mike MalottRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05