METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2013
Featherweight
VS
81%
Yahya
19%
Niinimaki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tom NiinimakiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rani Yahya · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Yahya
→
Actual result
Niinimaki wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Yahya is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yahya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Yahya's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Niinimaki has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
YahyaNiinimaki
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Yahya
Niinimaki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
+69"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Yahya
Niinimaki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.3
9.8
50.5
Performance Avg
25.0
39
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
33
Yahya
Niinimaki
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
0.8
5.1
Style: Volume
8.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
6Ground3
Yahya
Niinimaki
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Yahya
Niinimaki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/40 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Yahya
Niinimaki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Yahya
Niinimaki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yahya
Niinimaki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
5.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
YahyaNiinimaki
Strike Zones
Yahya
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedNiinimaki
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the head (88% of attacks) — Niinimaki absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Niinimaki targets the body (40% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yahya
RND
Niinimaki
0/0R00/0
Yahya · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Victor HenryKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Ray RodriguezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
Upcoming
Enrique BarzolaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
Niinimaki · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Renato MoicanoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R1
Chas SkellySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
L · Sub · R1
Niklas BackstromSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11