UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Las Vegas, USA
16 Nov 2013
Middleweight
VS
70%
Herman
30%
Leites
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
6'1"77" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
TL
Thales Leites
28 – 9
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'1"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Herman

Herman is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Herman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Leites has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Herman
Leites
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
+78"
45
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herman
Leites
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
16.4
47.4
Performance Avg
48.8
44
Quality of Victory
40
82
Momentum Score
35
Herman
Leites
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
4Clinch1
1Ground1
Herman
Leites
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Herman
Leites
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
21/37 fights
Herman
Leites
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Herman
Leites
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
54%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Herman
Leites
Striking4.1 / 2.8Volume3.5 / 4.9Grappling3.8 / 4.2Wrestling2.7 / 2.9Submission3.9 / 3.9Pressure6.4 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Herman
Strike Zones
Leites
Herman
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Leites
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Herman targets the head (57% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Leites targets the head (86% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Herman
RND
Leites
0/0R00/0

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Leites · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.7W5.0W5.2W5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.9L4.5W2006-112009-042015-012017-102018-09
WinLossTrend

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Leites · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11

News & Media

Ed Herman · Thales Leites
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