METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Las Vegas, USA
16 Nov 2013
Middleweight
VS
70%
Herman
30%
Leites
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thales LeiteswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ed Herman · UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Herman
→
Actual result
Leites wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Herman is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Herman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Leites has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HermanLeites
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Herman
Leites
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
+78"
45
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herman
Leites
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
16.4
47.4
Performance Avg
48.8
44
Quality of Victory
40
82
Momentum Score
35
Herman
Leites
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
4Clinch1
1Ground1
Herman
Leites
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Herman
Leites
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
21/37 fights
Herman
Leites
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Herman
Leites
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
54%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herman
Leites
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
HermanLeites
Strike Zones
Herman
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedLeites
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Herman targets the head (57% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Leites targets the head (86% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herman
RND
Leites
0/0R00/0
Herman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Leites · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R1
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Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11