METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Middleweight
VS
81%
Shahbazyan
19%
Marshman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:12
★ Official Result
Edmen ShahbazyanwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:12
def. Jack Marshman · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shahbazyan
→
Actual result
Shahbazyan wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Shahbazyan is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shahbazyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Shahbazyan's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marshman has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ShahbazyanMarshman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Shahbazyan
Marshman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
73"
28+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shahbazyan
Marshman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.0
14.2
54.6
Performance Avg
36.0
51
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
54
Shahbazyan
Marshman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
3.5
3.0
Style: Volume
6.1
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Shahbazyan
Marshman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shahbazyan
Marshman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
8/33 fights
Shahbazyan
Marshman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
54
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Shahbazyan
Marshman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shahbazyan
Marshman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
ShahbazyanMarshman
Strike Zones
Shahbazyan
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMarshman
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (85% of attacks) — Marshman absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shahbazyan
RND
Marshman
0/0R00/0
Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brunno FerreiraUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
Marshman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanSubmission
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
John PhillipsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Karl RobersonDecision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10