UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Cleveland, USA
10 Sept 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
39%
Eye
61%
Correia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Correia
Correia holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Eye has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Correia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Eye's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Correia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Eye
Correia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"+
Reach
64"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Eye
Correia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
25.0
28.6
Performance Avg
36.8
26
Quality of Victory
31
30
Momentum Score
88
Eye
Correia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
12
4
Body
0
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance14
4Clinch2
0Ground0
Eye
Correia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Eye
Correia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
38
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Eye
Correia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
88
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Eye
Correia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Eye
Correia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
EyeCorreia
Strike Zones
Eye
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedCorreia
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Eye targets the head (44% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Correia targets the head (75% of attacks) — Eye absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Eye
RND
Correia
0/0R00/0
Eye · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Correia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Eye · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R5
Cynthia CalvilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
Correia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06