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UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Paris, France
2 Sept 2023
Heavyweight
VS
62%
Gane
38%
Spivac
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:44
Ciryl
Ciryl Gane
"Bon Gamin"
132
6'4"81" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 73
Serghei
Serghei Spivac
"Polar Bear"
186
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 44
★ Official Result
Ciryl GanewinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:44
def. Serghei Spivac · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gane
Actual result
Gane wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Gane holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Spivac has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Spivac has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GaneSpivac
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Gane
Spivac
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
81"+
Reach
78"
36
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gane
Spivac
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.6
44.1
65.4
Performance Avg
50.5
53
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
33
Gane
Spivac
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
6.3
4.6
Style: Volume
3.8
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
2
20
Body
1
9
Leg
1
RangeRange
55Distance4
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Gane
Spivac
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gane
Spivac
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
6
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
14/15 fights
Chin rating based on
16/24 fights
Gane
Spivac
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Gane
Spivac
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gane
Spivac
Striking6.2 / 4.5Volume4.6 / 3.8Grappling2.3 / 3.5Wrestling1.6 / 2.4Submission1.8 / 3.3Pressure7.0 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Gane
Strike Zones
Spivac
Gane
Attacking
29HEAD20BODY9LEGS58 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Spivac
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD20BODY9LEGS58 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gane targets the head (50% of attacks) — Spivac absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Spivac targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gane absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gane
RND
Spivac
0/0R00/0

Gane · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Alex Pereira
KO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
Upcoming
Tom Aspinall
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Alexander Volkov
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R2
Serghei Spivac
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Sub · R1
Jon Jones
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Spivac · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Vitor Petrino
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Ante Delija
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Jailton Almeida
KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Marcin Tybura
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

News & Media

Ciryl Gane · Serghei Spivac
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