METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Chicago, USA
25 Jan 2014
Welterweight
VS
87%
Sullivan
13%
Rhodes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
George SullivanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mike Rhodes · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sullivan
→
Actual result
Sullivan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Sullivan is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sullivan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Sullivan's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SullivanRhodes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sullivan
Rhodes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
45
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sullivan
Rhodes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
2.4
38.1
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
79
Momentum Score
0
Sullivan
Rhodes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.2
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
9
5
Body
5
7
Leg
7
RangeRange
28Distance21
5Clinch0
0Ground0
Sullivan
Rhodes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sullivan
Rhodes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Sullivan
Rhodes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sullivan
Rhodes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sullivan
Rhodes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SullivanRhodes
Strike Zones
Sullivan
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedRhodes
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sullivan targets the head (64% of attacks) — Rhodes absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Rhodes targets the head (43% of attacks) — Sullivan absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sullivan
RND
Rhodes
0/0R00/0
Sullivan · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mickey GallSubmission
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L · Sub · R2
Niko PriceSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Alexander YakovlevKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Dominic WatersDecision
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L · Sub · R3
Tim MeansSubmission
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Rhodes · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
George SullivanDecision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01