METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Chicago, USA
25 Jan 2014
Welterweight
VS
87%
Sullivan
13%
Rhodes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
George SullivanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mike Rhodes · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sullivan
→
Actual result
Sullivan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Sullivan is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sullivan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Sullivan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sullivan's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SullivanRhodes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sullivan
Rhodes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
45
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sullivan
Rhodes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
2.4
38.1
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
79
Momentum Score
0
Sullivan
Rhodes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
9
5
Body
5
7
Leg
7
RangeRange
28Distance21
5Clinch0
0Ground0
Sullivan
Rhodes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sullivan
Rhodes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Sullivan
Rhodes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sullivan
Rhodes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sullivan
Rhodes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SullivanRhodes
Strike Zones
Sullivan
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedRhodes
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sullivan targets the head (64% of attacks) — Rhodes absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Rhodes targets the head (43% of attacks) — Sullivan absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sullivan
RND
Rhodes
0/0R00/0
Sullivan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Rhodes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Sullivan · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mickey GallRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · Sub · R2
Niko PriceRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander YakovlevRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Dominic WatersRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Sub · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.1Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
Rhodes · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
George SullivanRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01