UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jul 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
39%
Silva
61%
Gatto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ariane
Ariane da Silva
"Queen of Violence"
17 – 11
5'6"67" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
Melissa
Melissa Gatto
9 – 3
Striker30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'5"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gatto

Gatto holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Silva has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Gatto connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva
Gatto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
+69"
32
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Gatto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.5
53.2
39.0
Performance Avg
45.5
36
Quality of Victory
43
30
Momentum Score
59
Silva
Gatto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
15
6
Body
7
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance22
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Silva
Gatto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Gatto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/28 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Silva
Gatto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Silva
Gatto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Gatto
Striking0.9 / 7.7Volume6.2 / 1.0Grappling4.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Silva
Strike Zones
Gatto
Silva
Attacking
15HEAD6BODY3LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD7BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Gatto
Attacking
15HEAD7BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD6BODY3LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (63% of attacks) — Gatto absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Gatto targets the head (63% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Gatto
0/0R00/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.7L6.2L4.5W5.6W2.8L3.8L4.5W2.5L5.1W5.4W6.4W6.7L4.9L6.8L2019-012020-112023-032024-112025-06
WinLossTrend

Gatto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.2W5.5W6.2L5.5L6.0W6.2L2021-082021-122022-052023-072024-052026-04
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 4.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · Sub · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 6.4
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Melissa GattoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

Gatto · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Tamires VidalRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

News & Media

Ariane da Silva · Melissa Gatto
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