METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jul 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
38%
Silva
62%
Gatto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ariane da SilvawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Melissa Gatto · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gatto
→
Actual result
Silva wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Gatto holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Silva has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gatto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaGatto
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Gatto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
+69"
32
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Gatto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.5
55.3
37.5
Performance Avg
48.5
34
Quality of Victory
48
30
Momentum Score
59
Silva
Gatto
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
7.7
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
6.2
6.2
Style: Volume
1.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
15
6
Body
7
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance22
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Silva
Gatto
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Gatto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/28 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Silva
Gatto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Silva
Gatto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Gatto
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
SilvaGatto
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedGatto
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (63% of attacks) — Gatto absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Gatto targets the head (63% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Gatto
0/0R00/0
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongDecision
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L · Sub · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · Sub · R2
Casey O'NeillSubmission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Melissa GattoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Gatto · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Tamires VidalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Ariane da SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R3
Sijara EubanksKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12