UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Perth, Australia
17 Aug 2024
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Tafa
59%
Walker
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:56
Junior
Junior Tafa
"The Juggernaut"
7 – 5
6'3"75" reachOrthodox29 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 51
Valter
Valter Walker
"The Clean Monster"
15 – 1
Submission Hunter4-fight win streak28 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'6"
CFR 74

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Walker

This is a genuine toss-up — Tafa at 41% vs Walker at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tafa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tafa's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tafa
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'6"
75"
Reach
+78"
29
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tafa
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
73.9
50.0
Performance Avg
64.4
58
Quality of Victory
54
39
Momentum Score
91
Tafa
Walker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.8
59%
Strike Accuracy
51%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground1
Tafa
Walker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tafa
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Tafa
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
91
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Tafa
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tafa
Walker
Striking10.0 / 1.6Volume0.8 / 1.6Grappling0.0 / 8.0Wrestling0.0 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure8.1 / 9.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.4
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.6
Tafa
Strike Zones
Walker
Tafa
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 absorbed
Walker
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tafa targets the head (80% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tafa
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0

Tafa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0106.5L5.0W3.4L3.4L5.2W3.5L4.3L5.0W2023-042024-022024-102026-012026-05
WinLossTrend

Walker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L5.8W5.3W6.3W5.0W2024-042024-082025-022025-072025-10
WinLossTrend

Tafa · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Kevin ChristianRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Tuco TokkosRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Sean SharafRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

Walker · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Louie SutherlandRating 5
Submission
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Sub · R1
Don'Tale MayesRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Junior TafaRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04

News & Media

Junior Tafa · Valter Walker
← Back to fights